BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Florida Atlantic

Class: 1A Class Rank: 38 Conference: Conference USA Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength =  164.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L   177.99  21  45   1A   1 ( 13-  1) Ohio State             14.28 *  -38.28                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    L   135.50  14  48   1A  19 ( 10-  3) Central Florida       -28.22     -5.78                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    W   163.40  41  31   1A  85 (  5-  7) Ball St                -0.32     10.32                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    W   144.73  42   7   1B 109 (  1- 11) Wagner                -18.99 *   53.99                      
  5 09/28/2019 Away    W * 163.54  45  27   1A 110 (  7-  6) UNC-Charlotte          -0.18     18.18                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W * 159.64  28  13   1A 102 (  4-  8) Middle Tennessee St    -4.08     19.08                      
  7 10/18/2019 Home    L * 144.07  31  36   1A  91 (  8-  5) Marshall              -19.65     14.65                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    W * 173.86  41   3   1A 124 (  1- 11) Old Dominion           10.14     27.86                      
  9 11/02/2019 Away    W * 166.56  35  24   1A  77 (  9-  4) Western Kentucky        2.84      8.16                      
 10 11/09/2019 Home    W * 172.32  37   7   1A 111 (  6-  6) Florida Int'l           8.60     21.40                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    W * 150.73  40  26   1A 122 (  4-  8) Texas-San Antonio     -12.99     26.99                      
 12 11/30/2019 Home    W * 165.90  34  17   1A  90 (  7-  6) Southern Miss           2.18     14.82                      
 13 12/07/2019 Home    W * 185.99  49   6   1A 104 (  9-  5) Alabama-Birmingham     22.27     20.73                      
 14 12/21/2019 Neutral W   187.84  52  28   1A  41 ( 10-  3) SMU                    24.12     -0.12                      
      Averages             163.72  36.4 22.7

Best game:  187.84 = 24 point win over SMU
Worst game: 135.50 = 34 point loss to Central Florida
Team stdev:  15.69